── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jason Kubler 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jason Kubler
Hugo Grenier
68%32%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 88% / 12%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jason Kubler
47th · average
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Return
Jason Kubler
56th · average
Hugo Grenier
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#143
model rank
#183
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
178cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jason Kubler■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | Gwangju CH | Hard | QF | Jason Kubler | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2021-07-19 | Nur-Sultan 4 CH | Hard | QF | Jason Kubler | 7-6(4) 6-1 |