── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jason Kubler a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jason Kubler
Tristan Schoolkate
55%45%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 78% / 22%
Grass: 75% / 25%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jason Kubler
47th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
39th · below avg
Return
Jason Kubler
56th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#143
model rank
#158
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jason Kubler■ Tristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-21 | Gwangju CH | Hard | SF | Jason Kubler | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Brisbane 2 CH | Hard | R32 | Jason Kubler | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-03-21 | M25 Canberra | Clay | F | Jason Kubler | 7-6(3) 6-1 |
| 2021-08-02 | M25 Decatur IL | Hard | R32 | Jason Kubler | 6-2 6-1 |