── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jason Kubler 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Jason Kubler
Tristan Schoolkate
57%43%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 74% / 26%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Jason Kubler
43th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
33th · below avg
Return
Jason Kubler
57th · average
Tristan Schoolkate
9th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#135
model rank
#154
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
178cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Jason KublerTristan Schoolkate
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard30
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-04-21Gwangju CHHardSFJason Kubler7-5 6-4
2025-02-03Brisbane 2 CHHardR32Jason Kubler6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-03-21M25 CanberraClayFJason Kubler7-6(3) 6-1
2021-08-02M25 Decatur ILHardR32Jason Kubler6-2 6-1