── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jason Kubler a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jason Kubler
Coleman Wong
52%48%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jason Kubler
43th · average
Coleman Wong
39th · below avg
Return
Jason Kubler
57th · average
Coleman Wong
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#135
model rank
#143
Grass
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
HKG
178cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jason Kubler■ Coleman Wong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | Q1 | Jason Kubler | 7-6(4) 6-3 |