── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Dellien 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Hugo Dellien
Thiago Monteiro
57%43%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Hugo Dellien
24th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Return
Hugo Dellien
34th · below avg
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#127
model rank
#146
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
BOL
country
BRA
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Hugo DellienThiago Monteiro
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresClayQ2Hugo Dellien6-1 6-3
2023-11-13Montevideo CHClaySFThiago Monteiro7-6(1) 1-6 6-3
2023-10-02Campinas CHClayQFThiago Monteiro6-7(5) 6-4 6-3