── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Marcos Giron a slight 55% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marcos Giron
Roberto Bautista Agut
55%45%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 49% / 51%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Marcos Giron
56th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#106
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
180cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marcos Giron■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
Clay0–1
Hard0–2
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-09StuttgartGrassR32Marcos Giron7-6(3) 7-5
2025-05-18HamburgClayR32Roberto Bautista Agut7-6(5) 6-0
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersHardR32Roberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-3
2022-08-08Canada MastersHardR64Roberto Bautista Agut7-6(5) 6-3