── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marcos Giron 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marcos Giron
Adrian Mannarino
66%34%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#65
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
180cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marcos Giron■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-02-12 | Delray Beach | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 6-0 6-7(5) 6-1 |
| 2024-02-05 | Dallas | Hard | SF | Marcos Giron | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2021-02-01 | Murray River Open | Hard | R32 | Marcos Giron | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2014-11-10 | Champaign CH | Hard | QF | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2014-08-10 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | Q1 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-3 7-5 |