── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexander Bublik 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marcos Giron
Alexander Bublik
25%75%
Hard: 29% / 71%
Clay: 17% / 83%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Alexander Bublik
91th · elite
Return
Marcos Giron
56th · average
Alexander Bublik
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#106
model rank
#28
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
KAZ
180cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marcos Giron■ Alexander Bublik
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | Hong Kong | Hard | SF | Alexander Bublik | 3-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-09-20 | Chengdu | Hard | R32 | Marcos Giron | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2023-05-22 | Geneva | Clay | R32 | Marcos Giron | 6-0 6-4 |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Marcos Giron | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Alexander Bublik | 3-6 6-3 7-6(5) |