── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Lorenzo Sonego a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marcos Giron
Lorenzo Sonego
48%52%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 49% / 51%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
71th · strong
Return
Marcos Giron
57th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
29th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#107
model rank
#99
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ITA
180cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marcos Giron■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Chengdu | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2023-11-06 | Metz | Hard | R32 | Lorenzo Sonego | 2-6 6-3 7-6(3) |