── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marcos Giron a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Marcos Giron
Denis Shapovalov
50%50%
Hard: 41% / 59%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#65
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
CAN
180cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Marcos Giron■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay2–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-7(3) 6-0 7-6(4) |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Marcos Giron | 6-3 7-6(5) |
| 2025-02-24 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Denis Shapovalov | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2025-01-06 | Adelaide | Hard | R16 | Marcos Giron | 7-5 6-2 |
| 2024-04-01 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Marcos Giron | 6-2 7-5 |