── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Brandon Nakashima 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marcos Giron
Brandon Nakashima
41%59%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 27% / 73%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Brandon Nakashima
89th · strong
Return
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
46th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#65
model rank
#42
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marcos GironBrandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard13
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-11-02AthensHardR16Marcos Giron7-6(7) 6-1
2025-09-17ChengduHardQFBrandon Nakashima6-3 2-6 7-6(3)
2022-09-19San DiegoHardFBrandon Nakashima6-4 6-4
2020-03-02Indian Wells CHHardQFBrandon Nakashima7-6(2) 3-6 6-2