── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Daniel Merida Aguilar 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marcos Giron
Daniel Merida Aguilar
26%74%
Hard: 32% / 68%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marcos Giron
53th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
39th · below avg
Return
Marcos Giron
57th · average
Daniel Merida Aguilar
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#107
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
ESP
180cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marcos Giron■ Daniel Merida Aguilar
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-10Phoenix CHHardR32Marcos Giron6-0 6-1