── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alex Michelsen 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marcos Giron
Alex Michelsen
43%57%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marcos Giron
62th · average
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Marcos Giron
71th · strong
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#65
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
USA
country
USA
180cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marcos GironAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass10
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR16Marcos Giron6-4 6-4
2024-10-21ViennaHardR32Marcos Giron7-6(4) 6-3
2024-07-15NewportGrassFMarcos Giron6-7(4) 6-3 7-5