── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Adrian Mannarino 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Mitchell Krueger
Adrian Mannarino
32%68%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 13% / 87%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Mitchell Krueger
11th · poor
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#176
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
USA
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Mitchell KruegerAdrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersHardQ1Adrian Mannarino6-1 6-1
2016-07-25Lexington CHHardR16Mitchell Krueger6-2 1-6 6-4