── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Marco Trungelliti 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thiago Monteiro
Marco Trungelliti
39%61%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thiago Monteiro
57th · average
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Return
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#154
model rank
#117
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
ARG
183cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thiago Monteiro■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–2
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Szczecin CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4 3-6 6-3 |
| 2023-07-10 | Salzburg CH | Clay | R16 | Thiago Monteiro | 4-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2022-04-11 | Madrid CH | Clay | SF | Marco Trungelliti | 7-6(1) 7-6(5) |
| 2021-09-13 | Szczecin CH | Clay | R16 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2018-09-17 | Biella CH | Clay | QF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-1 6-2 |