── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Monteiro a slight 50% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thiago Monteiro
Andrea Pellegrino
50%50%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thiago Monteiro
57th · average
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Return
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#154
model rank
#160
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thiago Monteiro■ Andrea Pellegrino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay6–1
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | San Marino CH | Clay | R16 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-06-19 | Montechiarugolo CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-09-19 | Genoa CH | Clay | F | Thiago Monteiro | 6-1 7-6(2) |
| 2021-09-27 | Lisboa CH | Clay | R16 | Andrea Pellegrino | 6-3 7-6(8) |
| 2020-09-21 | Forli CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 6-4 4-6 6-1 |
| 2019-09-02 | Genova CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2018-09-17 | Biella CH | Clay | R32 | Thiago Monteiro | 6-7(4) 6-1 6-2 |

