── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Monteiro 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Monteiro
Yosuke Watanuki
57%43%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Yosuke Watanuki
14th · poor
Return
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Yosuke Watanuki
31th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#146
model rank
#164
Clay
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
JPN
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago MonteiroYosuke Watanuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass11
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Yosuke Watanuki7-6(9) 6-6 RET
2023-05-01Cagliari CHClayR32Yosuke Watanuki6-4 4-2 RET
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassQ3Thiago Monteiro3-6 7-6(3) 6-3 6-3