── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Thiago Monteiro 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Monteiro
Yosuke Watanuki
59%41%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 62% / 38%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Monteiro
59th · average
Yosuke Watanuki
7th · poor
Return
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Yosuke Watanuki
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#153
model rank
#182
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
JPN
183cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thiago Monteiro■ Yosuke Watanuki
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-06-30WimbledonGrassQ1Yosuke Watanuki7-6(9) 6-6 RET
2023-05-01Cagliari CHClayR32Yosuke Watanuki6-4 4-2 RET
2019-07-01WimbledonGrassQ3Thiago Monteiro3-6 7-6(3) 6-3 6-3