── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tomas Barrios Vera 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Monteiro
Tomas Barrios Vera
42%58%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Tomas Barrios Vera
19th · poor
Return
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Tomas Barrios Vera
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#146
model rank
#121
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
CHI
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago MonteiroTomas Barrios Vera
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-23Sao Paulo CHClayR16Tomas Barrios Vera6-6 RET
2026-01-27Concepcion CHClayR16Tomas Barrios Vera6-2 7-5
2018-10-22Lima CHClayR16Thiago MonteiroW/O