── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Monteiro
Facundo Diaz Acosta
31%69%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 65% / 35%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Monteiro
59th · average
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Return
Thiago Monteiro
1th · poor
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#153
model rank
#78
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
BRA
country
ARG
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Thiago Monteiro■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay4–1
── 5 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-27Concepcion CHClayR32Thiago Monteiro6-4 6-4
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroClayR32Thiago Monteiro3-6 6-3 7-6(3)
2023-11-13Montevideo CHClayFFacundo Diaz Acosta6-3 4-3 RET
2023-10-02Campinas CHClayR16Thiago Monteiro3-6 6-1 6-3
2018-11-05Montevideo CHClayR32Thiago Monteiro6-2 7-5