── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Luciano Darderi 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Thiago Monteiro
Luciano Darderi
21%79%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 16% / 84%
Grass: 39% / 61%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Luciano Darderi
62th · average
Return
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Luciano Darderi
74th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#146
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
ITA
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Thiago MonteiroLuciano Darderi
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay12
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-01Genoa CHClayQFLuciano Darderi7-5 6-2
2023-10-02Campinas CHClaySFThiago Monteiro6-2 6-1
2023-08-28Como CHClayR32Luciano Darderi6-3 6-2