── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ignacio Buse 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Thiago Monteiro
Ignacio Buse
22%78%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 26% / 74%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Thiago Monteiro
54th · average
Ignacio Buse
63th · average
Return
Thiago Monteiro
3th · poor
Ignacio Buse
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#146
model rank
#40
Clay
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
BRA
country
PER
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Thiago Monteiro■ Ignacio Buse
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-22 | Lisbon CH | Clay | R16 | Ignacio Buse | 7-6(7) 6-4 |
| 2025-03-10 | Santiago CH | Clay | SF | Thiago Monteiro | 7-5 7-6(4) |