── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Christopher Oconnell a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Christopher Oconnell
Roberto Bautista Agut
56%44%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 32% / 68%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Roberto Bautista Agut
36th · below avg
Return
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Roberto Bautista Agut
66th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#104
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Christopher Oconnell■ Roberto Bautista Agut
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 5-7 6-3 7-5 |
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R32 | Roberto Bautista Agut | 6-4 0-0 RET |
| 2023-02-20 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Christopher Oconnell | 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 |