── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Grigor Dimitrov 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Grigor Dimitrov
24%76%
Hard: 30% / 70%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 12% / 88%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Grigor Dimitrov
87th · strong
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Grigor Dimitrov
80th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#41
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
BUL
183cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellGrigor Dimitrov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard12
Clay01
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-02-24DubaiHardR32Christopher Oconnell6-0 0-0 RET
2023-09-20ChengduHardQFGrigor Dimitrov6-4 6-1
2023-05-22GenevaClayQFGrigor Dimitrov6-7(5) 7-5 6-4
2017-01-16Australian OpenHardR128Grigor Dimitrov7-6(2) 6-3 6-3