── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Nikoloz Basilashvili 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Nikoloz Basilashvili
40%60%
Hard: 61% / 39%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 31% / 69%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
33th · below avg
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Nikoloz Basilashvili
25th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#105
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GEO
183cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellNikoloz Basilashvili
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardQ2Christopher Oconnell6-4 6-4
2026-01-04BrisbaneHardQ1Christopher Oconnell6-2 6-3