── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Christopher Oconnell 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Bernard Tomic
67%33%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 68% / 32%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Bernard Tomic
11th · poor
Return
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Bernard Tomic
4th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#104
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Christopher Oconnell■ Bernard Tomic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-29WimbledonGrassQ2Christopher Oconnell6-4 6-4