── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Christopher Oconnell a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Christopher Oconnell
Alex Bolt
51%49%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 23% / 77%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Alex Bolt
35th · below avg
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Alex Bolt
8th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#142
model rank
#145
Hard
best surface
Grass
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
AUS
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Christopher Oconnell■ Alex Bolt
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–2
Clay1–0
Hard1–3
── 7 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Queen's Club | Grass | Q2 | Alex Bolt | 3-6 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2020-10-05 | Barcelona CH | Clay | R32 | Christopher Oconnell | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2016-02-29 | Australia F2 | Grass | R16 | Alex Bolt | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2015-10-19 | Australia F9 | Hard | QF | Christopher Oconnell | 7-6(3) 4-6 7-6(7) |
| 2015-10-05 | Australia F7 | Hard | SF | Alex Bolt | 6-2 6-4 |
| 2014-11-03 | Traralgon2 CH | Hard | R32 | Alex Bolt | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2014-02-24 | Australia F2 | Hard | QF | Alex Bolt | 6-3 4-6 7-6(1) |