── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Nicolas Jarry a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Christopher Oconnell
Nicolas Jarry
46%54%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 25% / 75%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#142
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
CHI
183cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Christopher Oconnell■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-31 | Bucharest | Clay | R16 | Christopher Oconnell | 6-2 5-7 7-6(5) |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Christopher Oconnell | 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-3 |