── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Cameron Norrie 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Cameron Norrie
22%78%
Hard: 34% / 66%
Clay: 14% / 86%
Grass: 16% / 84%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
64th · average
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Cameron Norrie
70th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#36
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
GBR
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellCameron Norrie
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardR16Christopher Oconnell7-6(9) 6-4
2025-05-07Rome MastersClayR128Cameron Norrie6-3 6-2