── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Stefanos Tsitsipas 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Stefanos Tsitsipas
25%75%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 33% / 67%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Stefanos Tsitsipas
92th · elite
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Stefanos Tsitsipas
53th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#45
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
GRE
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellStefanos Tsitsipas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-27Canada MastersHardR64Christopher Oconnell6-4 4-6 6-2