── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Christopher Oconnell
Casper Ruud
23%77%
Hard: 39% / 61%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 69% / 31%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Return
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Casper Ruud
92th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#104
model rank
#20
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
NOR
183cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Christopher Oconnell■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Christopher Oconnell | 7-5 1-2 RET |