── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ugo Humbert 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Ugo Humbert
23%77%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Ugo Humbert
63th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#39
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellUgo Humbert
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay11
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQFUgo Humbert6-4 6-1
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Ugo Humbert7-5 6-3 7-6(3)
2023-04-17MunichClayR32Christopher Oconnell6-4 6-4