── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Hugo Gaston a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Hugo Gaston
49%51%
Hard: 50% / 50%
Clay: 44% / 56%
Grass: 55% / 45%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Hugo Gaston
6th · poor
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Hugo Gaston
48th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#138
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
173cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellHugo Gaston
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQ2Christopher Oconnell6-2 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardR128Christopher Oconnell7-6(4) 6-0 4-6 6-1