── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Christopher Oconnell
Jack Draper
29%71%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 13% / 87%
Grass: 24% / 76%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#104
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
AUS
country
GBR
183cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Christopher Oconnell■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-17 | Doha | Hard | R16 | Jack Draper | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2024-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Christopher Oconnell | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2019-10-07 | Fairfield CH | Hard | QF | Christopher Oconnell | 6-2 6-3 |