── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Valentin Royer 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Valentin Royer
44%56%
Hard: 62% / 38%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 30% / 70%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
28th · below avg
Valentin Royer
43th · average
Return
Christopher Oconnell
22th · below avg
Valentin Royer
18th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#142
model rank
#118
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
FRA
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Christopher OconnellValentin Royer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardR32Christopher Oconnell6-4 4-6 7-6(4)