── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Jaime Faria 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Christopher Oconnell
Jaime Faria
41%59%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 46% / 54%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Christopher Oconnell
41th · average
Jaime Faria
49th · average
Return
Christopher Oconnell
33th · below avg
Jaime Faria
33th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#104
model rank
#71
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
POR
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Christopher Oconnell■ Jaime Faria
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-02Canada MastersHardQ1Christopher Oconnell6-7(8) 6-2 6-4