── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Novak Djokovic 98% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Novak Djokovic
2%98%
Hard: 2% / 98%
Clay: 15% / 85%
Grass: 7% / 93%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Novak Djokovic
99th · elite
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Novak Djokovic
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#3
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
SRB
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Novak Djokovic
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-27 | Wimbledon | Grass | F | Novak Djokovic | 4-6 6-3 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2017-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-4 7-6(3) |
| 2017-02-27 | Acapulco | Hard | QF | Nick Kyrgios | 7-6(9) 7-5 |

