── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 97% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Daniil Medvedev
3%97%
Hard: 4% / 96%
Clay: 33% / 67%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#5
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R16 | Nick Kyrgios | 7-6(11) 3-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-7(2) 6-4 6-2 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 7-6(1) 6-4 4-6 6-2 |
| 2019-07-29 | Washington | Hard | F | Nick Kyrgios | 7-6(6) 7-6(4) |
| 2019-05-13 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |

