── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Mackenzie Mcdonald
29%71%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
22th · below avg
Return
Nick Kyrgios
25th · below avg
Mackenzie Mcdonald
41th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#187
model rank
#158
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Nick Kyrgios | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-4 |