── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mackenzie Mcdonald 77% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Mackenzie Mcdonald
23%77%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 65% / 35%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Mackenzie Mcdonald
30th · below avg
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Mackenzie Mcdonald
42th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#132
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Mackenzie Mcdonald
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R128 | Nick Kyrgios | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-08-02 | Washington | Hard | R64 | Mackenzie Mcdonald | 6-4 6-4 |