── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov 92% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Karen Khachanov
8%92%
Hard: 12% / 88%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
RUS
193cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-19 | Miami Masters | Hard | R64 | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(3) 6-0 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 7-5 4-6 7-5 6-7(3) 6-4 |
| 2020-01-20 | Australian Open | Hard | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-2 7-6(5) 6-7(6) 6-7(7) 7-6(8) |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Karen Khachanov | 6-7(3) 7-6(4) 6-2 |