── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Reilly Opelka 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Reilly Opelka
17%83%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#100
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
193cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Nick Kyrgios | 7-6(1) 6-2 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | SF | Reilly Opelka | 6-3 7-5 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Reilly Opelka | 4-6 7-6(4) 6-4 |

