── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tommy Paul 95% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Tommy Paul
5%95%
Hard: 8% / 92%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
97th · elite
Tommy Paul
80th · strong
Return
Nick Kyrgios
32th · below avg
Tommy Paul
95th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#180
model rank
#14
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
USA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Tommy Paul
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2022-04-04 | Houston | Clay | R16 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-4 6-2 |