── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Baez 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Sebastian Baez
17%83%
Hard: 26% / 74%
Clay: 51% / 49%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Sebastian Baez
23th · below avg
Return
Nick Kyrgios
25th · below avg
Sebastian Baez
78th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#187
model rank
#89
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ARG
193cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Sebastian Baez
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-08 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-03-07 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R128 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-4 6-0 |