── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yoshihito Nishioka
Thanasi Kokkinakis
57%43%
Hard: 58% / 42%
Clay: 29% / 71%
Grass: 41% / 59%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#128
model rank
#149
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
170cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yoshihito NishiokaThanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-01-06AdelaideHardR32Thanasi Kokkinakis6-3 3-6 6-3
2014-08-25US OpenHardQ2Yoshihito Nishioka7-5 4-6 6-4