── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Yoshihito Nishioka 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yoshihito Nishioka
Maximilian Marterer
66%34%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 48% / 52%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Maximilian Marterer
19th · poor
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Maximilian Marterer
8th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#128
model rank
#173
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
JPN
country
GER
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yoshihito NishiokaMaximilian Marterer
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2024-09-18HangzhouHardR32Yoshihito Nishioka6-4 6-2
2022-04-25MunichClayQ1Yoshihito Nishioka6-2 6-2