── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Andrey Rublev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yoshihito Nishioka
Andrey Rublev
15%85%
Hard: 20% / 80%
Clay: 8% / 92%
Grass: 15% / 85%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average
Andrey Rublev
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#167
model rank
#27
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
RUS
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yoshihito Nishioka■ Andrey Rublev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–2
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Yoshihito Nishioka | 2-6 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-10-30 | Paris Masters | Hard | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-04-24 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Andrey Rublev | 6-2 7-5 |
| 2022-08-01 | Washington | Hard | SF | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-02-02 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Andrey Rublev | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2019-01-07 | Sydney | Hard | R16 | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-3 6-1 |