── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Andrey Rublev 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yoshihito Nishioka
Andrey Rublev
18%82%
Hard: 25% / 75%
Clay: 9% / 91%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Andrey Rublev
84th · strong
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Andrey Rublev
88th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#128
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
RUS
170cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yoshihito NishiokaAndrey Rublev
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard32
Clay01
── 6 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR64Yoshihito Nishioka2-6 6-1 6-4
2023-10-30Paris MastersHardR32Andrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2023-04-24Madrid MastersClayR32Andrey Rublev6-2 7-5
2022-08-01WashingtonHardSFYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-4
2021-02-02Atp CupHardRRAndrey Rublev6-1 6-3
2019-01-07SydneyHardR16Yoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-1