── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Casper Ruud 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yoshihito Nishioka
Casper Ruud
14%86%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 5% / 95%
Grass: 40% / 60%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Casper Ruud
93th · elite
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Casper Ruud
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#128
model rank
#11
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
NOR
170cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yoshihito Nishioka■ Casper Ruud
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
Clay0–1
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-03 | Dallas | Hard | QF | Casper Ruud | 7-5 3-2 RET |
| 2023-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Casper Ruud | 7-5 6-0 |
| 2022-09-26 | Seoul | Hard | QF | Yoshihito Nishioka | 6-2 3-6 6-2 |
| 2021-05-03 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R32 | Casper Ruud | 6-1 6-2 |