── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alexei Popyrin 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yoshihito Nishioka
Alexei Popyrin
37%63%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 31% / 69%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#128
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
AUS
170cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yoshihito Nishioka■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-26 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Alexei Popyrin | 7-5 6-4 1-2 RET |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | QF | Yoshihito Nishioka | 7-6(4) 6-7(8) 6-2 |