── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Shevchenko 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yoshihito Nishioka
Alexander Shevchenko
41%59%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 72% / 28%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
23th · below avg
Alexander Shevchenko
30th · below avg
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
56th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
16th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#167
model rank
#137
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
KAZ
170cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Yoshihito Nishioka■ Alexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-10-05Shanghai MastersHardQ1Yoshihito Nishioka6-2 6-4
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Yoshihito Nishioka6-1 6-2