── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alexander Shevchenko a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Yoshihito Nishioka
Alexander Shevchenko
49%51%
Hard: 49% / 51%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 66% / 34%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Alexander Shevchenko
20th · below avg
Return
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Alexander Shevchenko
28th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#128
model rank
#124
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
JPN
country
KAZ
170cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Yoshihito NishiokaAlexander Shevchenko
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersHardR128Yoshihito Nishioka6-1 6-2