── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Marco Trungelliti
85%15%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 73% / 27%
Grass: 93% / 7%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Marco Trungelliti
19th · poor
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Marco Trungelliti
31th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
ARG
198cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Marco Trungelliti
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2016-07-04 | Todi CH | Clay | R16 | Marco Trungelliti | 6-2 7-5 |