── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
Jan Lennard Struff
79%21%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 74% / 26%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
82th · strong
Jan Lennard Struff
67th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
98th · elite
Jan Lennard Struff
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#8
model rank
#76
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
GER
198cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ Jan Lennard Struff
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard7–1
Grass2–2
Clay1–0
── 13 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Jan Lennard Struff | 7-6(4) 7-6(5) 7-5 |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2025-02-10 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-1 6-3 4-6 7-6(3) |
| 2021-12-04 | Davis Cup Finals SF: RTF vs GER | Hard | RR | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-06-28 | Wimbledon | Grass | R128 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-1 4-6 7-6(3) |
| 2021-06-14 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Jan Lennard Struff | 7-6(6) 6-3 |
| 2019-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2017-02-20 | Marseille | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2016-10-03 | Mons CH | Hard | SF | Jan Lennard Struff | 7-6(2) 7-6(5) |
| 2016-09-26 | Orleans CH | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2016-07-11 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 5-7 6-4 |