── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Daniil Medvedev
James Duckworth
88%12%
Hard: 91% / 9%
Clay: 86% / 14%
Grass: 83% / 17%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
James Duckworth
57th · average
Return
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
James Duckworth
11th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#5
model rank
#117
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
RUS
country
AUS
198cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Daniil Medvedev■ James Duckworth
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Almaty | Hard | SF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-7(8) 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-2 6-4 |